Posted on September 30 2016
10:30 am update. Weatherunderground has increased our precipitation forecast to 1/2″
And we wake up to another ridiculous move. Someone finally realized that the forecasted rain wasn’t going to increase the flows enough to meet the downstream targets so the release from Cannonsville has been raised to 589 cfs. The Mainstem flow at Lordville hit an unbelievable low of 553 cfs. For years we have watched them prematurely drop the releases counting on rain to meet the Montague target and for years we have watched the yo yo release increase when that rain misses us. Nothing has changed.
The West Branch is now back in good shape for wading and floating. The Mainstem will come up a bit with the increased release but should settle in by evening. Olives, isonychias and caddis have been out in good numbers when the river isn’t screwed up from Yo Yo releases. We are beginning to see a few Heptagenia hebes on the water plus the flying ants are around. During the off hatch times we have been doing well with small dark woolly buggers and smaller pheasant tails and hare’s ears. We may see a 1/4″ of rain today with most of it falling in the morning. We have been dry so we expect most of the precipitation to soak into the ground. They are still calling for decent cloud cover and light rain through Tuesday. If they stop screwing with the release it should fish well over the next few days.
Slate Drake – #12 – 14- Isonychia bicolor
Sulphur – #16-20 – E. dorothea
Light Cahill – #14 – 16
Tiny Blue Winged Olive – #22 – 26 – Psuedocloeon spp.
Blue Winged Olive – #18 – 20 – E. lata
Light Blue Winged Olive – #16 – 20 E. attenuatta
Tan Caddis – #16 – 20 – Hydropsyche spp.
Dark Brachycentrus sp. – #14 – 18 – Dark Grannom
Little Black Caddis #18 – 20 – Chimarra sp.
Blue Winged Olives #16 – 18 – Baetis vagans (updated name: Baetis tricaudatus)
|West Branch at Stilesville, NY||567 cfs
|West Branch at Hale Eddy, NY||516 cfs
|East Branch at Harvard, NY||117 cfs||54°|
|East Branch at Fish’s Eddy, NY||180 cfs
|Mainstem at Lordville, NY||553 cfs
|Beaverkill at Cooks Falls, NY||67 cfs||N/A|
|Cannonsville Reservoir Release||589 cfs|
|West Branch at 191 Bridge||N/A||55°|
|West Branch at Walton (Cannonsville inflow)||75 cfs
|Cannonsville Reservoir Capacity||48.5%|
|Pepacton Reservoir Capacity||72.7%|